Marília vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
VOT
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
DES
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
USA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 0
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 3
COM
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |