Marília vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 0
COM
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
BSP
22%
22%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
3 - 1
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
BSP
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BSP
2 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +3 |