Maribor vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
3º
67
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
CLU
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
DOM
3 - 2
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 0
MAR
48%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
HJK
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
BRA
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 3
NSM
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
CEL
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |