Marcílio Dias vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
63.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
51%
23%
27%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRU
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
0 - 1
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRU
74%
19%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
JUV
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |