Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
4 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
AVA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
BRU
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |