Maranhão vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 5
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
2 - 2
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 1
MAR
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAM
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
85%
12%
4%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
NAU
7%
15%
78%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |