Maranhão vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TEC
2 - 0
MAR
14%
18%
68%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDJ
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CFC
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
NAU
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
IGU
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
10%
21%
68%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 2
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |