Cearense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Maracanã vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
IGU
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
FLO
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 2
HOR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLO
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |