Manchester United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 1
MUD
36%
27%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MUD
0 - 0
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 6
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAT
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
WAT
2 - 3
EVE
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 1
WAT
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
ASV
2 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
0 - 0
TOT
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |