Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1964 |
MUD
2 - 1
SHE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
LIV
3 - 0
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
MUD
3 - 0
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
NTT
1 - 3
BUR
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
WBA
2 - 3
NTT
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 0
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
NTT
0 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |