Manchester United vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 3
MUD
59%
21%
21%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUD
1 - 3
BHA
57%
23%
20%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 2
NTT
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 0
FUL
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 1
CRY
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CRY
3 - 2
WOL
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PLY
2 - 4
CRY
20%
25%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
CRY
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |