Man. City U21 vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
34
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 1
MCI
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 6
MCI
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
6 - 3
MCI
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 3
CRY
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DER
1 - 3
MCI
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
STE
3 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 1
CRY
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
ARS
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 3
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |