Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
31%
24%
45%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2020 |
MAC
5 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 0
ARS
69%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 0
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
20%
22%
58%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
LIV
6 - 0
BBU
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 3
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
BOU
86%
11%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |