Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
BYM
1 - 0
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
42%
25%
34%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
STO
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
MAC
13%
20%
67%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CHL
1 - 1
S04
66%
19%
15%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHL
4 - 2
SWA
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EVE
3 - 6
CHL
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
LEI
80%
13%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |