Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 5-2
Manchester City vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
25%
23%
52%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
WIG
1 - 0
MAC
7%
15%
78%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 4
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 4
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |