Managua vs FOX Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
UNA
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 0
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DIR
0 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
WAL
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FOX Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FVI
0 - 1
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
FVI
0 - 2
JAP
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FVI
0 - 1
WAL
21%
26%
54%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
REA
4 - 0
FVI
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FVI
1 - 2
EST
26%
30%
44%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |