Managua vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
3º
27
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 3
MAN
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
WAL
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
DEP
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
MFC
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |