Managua vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 0
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 5
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 2
EST
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REA
2 - 3
CFC
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DIR
2 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |