Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
MPU
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 1
SUN
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
SUN
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 2
SUN
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
RKF
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 1
SSU
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 0
PIR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PIR
0 - 1
RIB
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 3
PIR
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |