Malawi vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SSD
0 - 1
MWI
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MWI
0 - 0
BFA
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
BFA
3 - 1
MWI
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MWI
0 - 0
ZWE
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 5
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
TGO
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
NER
0 - 3
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |