Malawi vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 4
KEN
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 1
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LBR
0 - 1
MWI
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SSD
0 - 0
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
SSD
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
NAM
11%
18%
72%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TUN
4 - 0
STP
89%
9%
2%
|
36 | 83 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NGA
6 - 0
STP
90%
8%
2%
|
36 | 83 | 47 | 0 |