Málaga vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
GET
0 - 2
MAL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 2
SEV
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 5
MAL
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 3
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
DZG
2 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 0
ESP
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RSO
1 - 0
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |