Málaga vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
CDT
1 - 2
MAL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
MAL
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
MAL
3 - 2
ALB
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NUM
0 - 0
MAL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 0
FCB
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
SEV
5 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 2
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
SEV
2 - 2
LLE
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LOG
0 - 1
SEV
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
SEV
4 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |