Málaga vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
RSO
2 - 2
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAL
4 - 2
SEV
34%
25%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 2
MAL
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 0
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 4
RMA
9%
15%
76%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
RMA
4 - 1
SEV
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
30%
24%
46%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 4
RMA
3%
10%
87%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |