Málaga vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
FCB
1 - 1
MAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
MAL
0 - 0
LLE
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MAL
3 - 2
LOG
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
OSA
1 - 0
MAL
54%
27%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
LLE
2 - 1
NUM
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 3
LOG
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
RAY
1 - 1
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 1
ATB
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MLL
0 - 3
NUM
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |