Mairena vs Pilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
MSQ
1 - 3
MAI
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
PUE
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAI
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
MAI
23%
24%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PIL
0 - 1
ALC
22%
23%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UDR
5 - 3
PIL
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PIL
3 - 0
CDD
14%
19%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PIL
0 - 2
MOR
23%
22%
55%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PIL
0 - 0
MSQ
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |