Mairena vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DHM
1 - 0
MAI
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARH
1 - 1
MAI
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
ROC
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAI
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
CDD
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 3
MSQ
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UDR
2 - 0
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |