Mainz 05 vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KAI
3 - 1
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
M05
0 - 4
HOF
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HAN
1 - 1
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
M05
2 - 4
S04
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 2
M05
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 1
BVB
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 1
ARS
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 2
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 0
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BVB
2 - 0
FCN
64%
22%
15%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |