Mainz 05 II vs Schalke 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IDA
2 - 1
MAI
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 0
WIE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
EIN
0 - 3
MAI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 3
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAY
0 - 3
MAI
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
S04
1 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
S04
0 - 4
BOR
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
IDA
2 - 3
S04
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
S04
2 - 0
WIE
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |