Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAI
1 - 1
ELV
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
HES
3 - 4
MAI
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAI
2 - 2
ULM
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
STE
5 - 0
MAI
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 1
HOF
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RVO
0 - 1
FRE
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 0
ELV
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
HES
0 - 0
FRE
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
ULM
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STE
1 - 0
FRE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |