Madureira RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.6%
77.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
20.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAD
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAD
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
POR
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
3 - 0
BOA
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAD
3 - 1
VOL
6%
13%
81%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAM
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 2
FLU
6%
18%
76%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
4 - 1
BAN
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |