Madureira RJ vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
RES
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 2
BON
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
MAD
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 2
MAD
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
4 - 0
DUQ
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 1
DUQ
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | +1 |