Madureira RJ vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAD
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
OES
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |