WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-5
Madagascar vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MDG
2 - 2
CAF
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
0 - 3
MDG
10%
18%
71%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MDG
0 - 0
AGO
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
MDV
0 - 4
MDG
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COD
2 - 1
MDG
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GIN
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GIN
2 - 0
SEN
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
DZA
1 - 0
SEN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAF
1 - 0
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 2
SEN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |