Madagascar vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 0
MAD
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 1
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 0
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 0
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 1
RWA
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 2
MOZ
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |