Macarthur FC vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
18
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
MCI
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 2
MFC
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
CCM
32%
23%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 0
SAB
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CCM
4 - 0
DEL
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
CCM
32%
23%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 0
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |