Macaé Esporte vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.8%
76.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 3
NOV
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 1
MAC
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 3
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
6%
17%
77%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
77%
15%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |