Lynx vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+154%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
5º
4
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lynx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 1
LYN
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LYN
4 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
LYN
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CEU
2 - 1
LYN
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LYN
1 - 2
LRI
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 6
JOS
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
EUR
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
7 - 0
EUR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 9
CEU
12%
17%
72%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LRI
10 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |