Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-1
Luverdense vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SIN
1 - 0
LUV
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
OPE
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POC
2 - 0
LUV
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 3
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
CAB
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
CAB
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAB
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |