Luverdense vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
GOI
3 - 1
LUV
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
LUV
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 3
AMF
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 3
LUV
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
LON
3 - 1
ABC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
ABC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 3
CRB
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |