Luton Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUT
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
3 - 2
LUT
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
LUT
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LUT
3 - 0
POS
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUT
1 - 3
BHA
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 2
BOU
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
BIR
66%
23%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 1
BIR
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |