Lusitano FCV vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
83.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 5
LUS
21%
25%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUS
16%
25%
60%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
LEC
89%
8%
2%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
4 - 3
NAC
6%
13%
82%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 0
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 2
EST
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOA
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |