Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 0-3
FC Lugano vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
LUG
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
0 - 7
LUG
4%
10%
86%
|
81 | 18 | 63 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
6 - 1
YVE
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
LUG
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KVM
4 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 1
LEU
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SDL
0 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
AND
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |