Lugano II vs Breitenrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 3
BIE
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
KRI
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
SER
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
SCB
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
BRE
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
DEL
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |