Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
2º
3º
2º
84
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CSK
5 - 1
BVR
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
HEB
0 - 4
CSK
17%
27%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OFK
0 - 1
CSK
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |