Lucchese Libertas vs Carrarese analysis

Lucchese Libertas Carrarese
54 ELO 62
-14.5% Tilt -19.6%
3199º General ELO ranking 1958º
77º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
27.7%
Lucchese Libertas
28.8%
Draw
43.4%
Carrarese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
Lucchese Libertas
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.4%
Win probability
Carrarese
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lucchese Libertas
-9%
+35%
Carrarese

Points and table prediction

Lucchese Libertas
Their league position
Carrarese
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
14º
14º
73
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cesena
96
96
100%
Sassari Torres
75
75
100%
Carrarese
73
73
100%
Perugia
63
63
100%
AS Gubbio 1910
59
59
100%
Pescara
55
55
100%
Juventus Next Gen
54
54
100%
SS Arezzo
53
53
100%
Pontedera
52
52
100%
Rimini
10º
50
50
10º
100%
SPAL
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Virtus Entella
13º
45
45
12º
0%
Pineto
12º
45
45
13º
0%
Lucchese Libertas
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Sestri Levante
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Ancona
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Vis Pesaro
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Recanatese
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Fermana
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Olbia Calcio
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lucchese Libertas
Carrarese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lucchese Libertas
Carrarese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
FER
Fermana
2 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
28%
29%
42%
55 46 9 0
08 Apr. 2024
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 1
SS Arezzo
ARZ
42%
27%
32%
55 53 2 0
28 Mar. 2024
VIS
Vis Pesaro
1 - 3
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
35%
30%
35%
54 49 5 +1
24 Mar. 2024
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
0 - 1
Cesena
CES
15%
24%
61%
54 71 17 0
15 Mar. 2024
ACD
Virtus Entella
0 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
60%
24%
16%
54 58 4 0

Matches

Carrarese
Carrarese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
CAR
Carrarese
3 - 0
Rimini
RIM
60%
24%
17%
61 55 6 0
07 Apr. 2024
REC
Recanatese
4 - 1
Carrarese
CAR
21%
27%
52%
62 46 16 -1
28 Mar. 2024
CAR
Carrarese
1 - 0
Perugia
PRG
32%
28%
40%
61 69 8 +1
23 Mar. 2024
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Carrarese
CAR
47%
27%
27%
61 60 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
CAR
Carrarese
1 - 0
Juventus Next Gen
JS2
52%
25%
24%
60 56 4 +1
X