Loures vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 3
COR
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
LOU
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 2
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 0
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
FEI
1 - 1
BOA
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
BOA
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
SCP
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
PAÇ
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |