Llaneros vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
LLA
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
AME
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
CAR
27%
27%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
CUC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |