Livorno Sub 19 vs Novara Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 2
EMP
41%
27%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
LIV
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 3
CAG
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
SIE
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
4 - 3
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
38%
24%
37%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
SPE
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |