Livingston vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 2
HOM
20%
27%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MHE
3 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
STJ
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
LIV
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 2
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
RAI
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
RAI
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
2 - 2
ARB
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 4
AYR
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |